CMBS
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Loss severities drop dramatically
Trepp says that US CMBS loss severity came in at 18.14% during April, which is 26 percentage points below the 44.17% 12-month average. In total, monthly severity reduced by 18%, as 16 loans and 61% of the monthly disposed balance liquidated with less than 2% loss.
The US$375m Belnord loan, backed by a large multifamily property in Manhattan, along with the US$115.8m 1818 .......
News Round-up 11 May 2015
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Slow return for European secondary
European securitisation secondary markets look set to return to life this week, but progress is slow.
Wider market positivity on the back of the UK election and US non-farm payrolls has improved the tone in European ABS/MBS secondary markets. However, spreads remain broadly unchanged for now as activity is only slowly picking up again.
Many buy-side participants are still sitting .......
SCIWire 11 May 2015
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Sharp increase in CMBS pay-offs
Trepp reports that the percentage of US CMBS loans paying off on their balloon date increased sharply in April. The latest reading of 80% is more than 15 points above the March rate, resulting in the highest reading since the 81.3% pay-off total in November 2013. The April rate of 80% is also well above the 12-month moving average of .......
News Round-up 8 May 2015
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Idiosyncratic risk?
US CMBS 2.0/3.0 loan troubles scrutinised
The US$96.4m Ty Warner Hotels & Resorts Portfolio loan, securitised in MSC 2012-C4, has become the latest high-profile CMBS 2.0/3.0 loan to face difficulties (SCI 6 May). Such instances are being portrayed as idiosyncratic in nature (SCI 27 April), but they could herald a broader trend towards defaults.
Excluding the Ty Warner loan, Morgan Stanley CMBS strategists calculate that a .......
News Analysis 8 May 2015
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Euro ABS/MBS stays stable
In the face of heightened broader credit market volatility yesterday the European ABS/MBS secondary market remained relatively stable with spreads unchanged to slightly softer.
However, volumes remained low with many investors opting to wait it out for now. Consequently, BWICs saw an increase in DNTs and bid-offers continued the week's widening trend. Little is expected to change today with sentiment .......
SCIWire 8 May 2015
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German CMBS value examined
Price rallies for Gagfah's three outstanding multifamily CMBS ended in March as both Gagfah and Deutsche Annington, with which it is merging, had their earnings calls. Those calls caused a re-evaluation of the assumption that the CMBS would prepay quickly, yet despite a change in timelines, prepayments are still expected.
While the timing of early prepayments on Taurus 2013 GMF1, .......
News 7 May 2015
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CMBS loss severities declining
US CMBS loss severities are declining year-over year, with a sizable decline to 44.8% in 2014 from 51.2% in 2013, says Fitch. However, total losses are on the rise, due in part to fewer modifications by special servicers in 2014.
"CMBS loans were modified and returned to the master servicer earlier on in the recovery cycle, which delayed realised losses," .......
News Round-up 7 May 2015
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Euro secondary mixed
European secondary securitisation markets are seeing a mixed tone amid continuing low volumes.
Volumes were light again yesterday though a few more BWICs joined the schedule as the day wore on and there is a considerable increase in lists circulating for trade today. Prime assets remain the strongest ABS/MBS sector across autos and UK and Dutch RMBS, while CLOs continue .......
SCIWire 7 May 2015
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Euro liquidity hampered
Broader market volatility combined with a holiday shortened week continues to hamper liquidity across European secondary securitisation markets.
Yesterday saw another quiet day in European secondary with low volumes on- and off-BWIC. However, yesterday's Italian BWIC did trade reasonably well.
Overall, spreads remained unchanged to slightly wider as market sentiment continued to soften on macro news. CLO paper remains the .......
SCIWire 6 May 2015
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Ty Warner loan eyed
The US$96.4m Ty Warner Hotels & Resorts Portfolio, securitised in MSC 2012-C4, has become the largest CMBS 2.0 loan to transfer to special servicing to date. Reported as being due to imminent non-monetary default, the transfer appears to be related to the troubles of owner Ty Warner, who pled guilty to felony tax evasion in 2014.
Barclays Capital CMBS analysts .......
News Round-up 6 May 2015
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NPL pools up for bid
The US Department of Housing and Urban Development has announced its first NPL sale under the Distressed Asset Stabilization Program for 2015 (SFLS 2015-1). Freddie Mac also announced its next standard pool NPL sale, scheduled for 20 May.
HUD's latest sale consists of two portfolios: the first comprising geographically diversified NPLs (dubbed national pools), to be auctioned on 24 June; .......
News Round-up 5 May 2015
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Delinquency rate inches down
Trepp's US CMBS delinquency rate inched lower in April, increasing the number of months during which it has fallen in the last two years to 21. The delinquency rate now stands at 5.57%, down by 1bp from February and March, and 87bp lower than the level a year ago.
Last month, US$1.35bn in loans became newly delinquent, which put 26bp .......
News Round-up 5 May 2015
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Sharp rise in CMBS early prepays
While US CMBS 2.0 loans have increasingly paid off with yield maintenance or been defeased, the pace has picked up even more since the second half of 2014. This is particularly noticeable for five-year loans, despite the upfront penalty involved.
The low level of rates relative to loan coupons makes it expensive for loans to pay off in this way, .......
News 5 May 2015
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Expected loss inches lower
Moody's base expected loss for US conduit/fusion CMBS fell to 7.7% in 1Q15, from 7.9% the previous quarter. In addition, the share of specially serviced conduit loans declined for the tenth consecutive quarter, to 6.96% in Q1 from 7.32% in 4Q14.
"We expect the positive momentum to continue in the commercial real estate sector as favourable financing conditions and economic .......
News Round-up 1 May 2015
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Macerich JV exposure gauged
Sears is forming its third real estate joint venture, this time with Macerich (MAC), involving nine Sears properties located at MAC malls. The purchase price for the properties is US$300m, with MAC contributing US$150m in cash for its 50% interest.
The JV will lease back existing stores to Sears under a triple-net master lease agreement, with a 10-year initial term .......
News Round-up 1 May 2015
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MBS trio tapped
Cello Capital Management has recruited Toby Maitland Hudson, Scott Grabine and Kashif Akhtar. All three arrive as traders from Saba Capital Management.
Prior to joining Cello, Maitland was md at Saba and executive director in CMBS trading at JPMorgan before that. Akhtar has also held senior roles at Saba and JPMorgan, both with an emphasis on CMBS trading. In addition, .......
Job Swaps 1 May 2015
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Euro secondary on hold
The European secondary securitisation markets are now effectively on hold until Tuesday.
With European and/or UK public holidays today and Monday and another EU-Greece meeting tomorrow, unsurprisingly yesterday saw no major change in the patterns seen in recent days and looks set to remain the same today. Flows were again light yesterday, but spreads held up with the exception of .......
SCIWire 1 May 2015
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GSA stress emerges
The US$200.1m NGP Rubicon GSA Pool loan - which is split pari passu in the WBCMT 2005-C20 and WBCMT 2005-C21 CMBS - has transferred to special servicing with CWCapital. The move appears to be due to recent performance declines and the pending maturity of the loan in June.
The 14 properties in the portfolio were all originally primarily leased to .......
News Round-up 30 April 2015
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Euro ABS/MBS unsettled
The European ABS/MBS secondary market has become unsettled as broader market volatility spikes, but for now spreads are holding firm.
A mix of the sell-off in Bunds and month- and week-end for most of Europe limited flow trading activity across European ABS/MBS yesterday. BWICs generally traded in line with expectations though some Spanish names took a hit. Overall, spreads held .......
SCIWire 30 April 2015
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Euro secondary takes back seat
Activity is on the rise in European securitisation secondary markets this week so far, but the primary market is still traders' main focus.
"BWICs picked up a bit yesterday and flows were reasonable," says one trader. "ABS/MBS Secondary is still taking a little bit of a back seat to primary where the Warwick print was the main talking point yesterday .......
SCIWire 29 April 2015
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CMBS 2.0/3.0 watchlistings drop
The volume of newly watchlisted US CMBS 2.0/3.0 loans fell in the April remittance to just over US$1bn, from US$2.1bn in February and US$1.9bn in March, according to Barclays Capital figures. The 2013 and 2014 vintages accounted for the bulk of the watchlistings, with some the result of pro-forma underwriting leading to low initial DSCRs.
JPMBB 2013-C15 has US$100m of .......
News Round-up 29 April 2015